Missile Tracking Systems Market - A Global and Regional Analysis: Focus on Application, Platform, and Region - Analysis and Forecast, 2023-2033

Dec 2023| BIS848A| BIS Research

Report Highlights

Global Missile Tracking Systems Market Expected to Reach $117.50 Billion by 2033

Introduction of Missile Tracking Systems

The implementation of missile tracking systems represented an essential point in military technology and defense strategy. Tracking and intercepting fast-moving missiles were a significant issue prior to their development, resulting in low success rates in defending against such missiles. Armed forces gained a considerable edge in locating, tracking, and eliminating incoming missiles with the introduction of modern missile tracking systems. These systems use cutting-edge radar systems, infrared sensors, advanced GPS sensors, and complex software algorithms, which act as a collective surveillance system to detect and track missiles with pinpoint accuracy, and in retaliation, make use of guided missiles to counter the incoming hostile missile. This ground-breaking technology has not only improved national security but also created a feeling of deterrence by showcasing a nation's ability to defend itself and its interests against possible missile threats.

Market Introduction

The evolution of missile tracking systems is an interesting journey through technological advances driven by the demand for precision and efficacy in modern combat. During World War II, radar technology revolutionized the detection and tracking of approaching enemy aircraft. As engineers and scientists understood the potential of radar for tracking not just airplanes but also missiles, it marked the origin of early missile tracking systems. However, these early systems were basic in comparison to today's advanced technology. During the Cold War, missile tracking systems evolved significantly as superpowers raced to create more powerful and precise systems to address the rising danger of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), subsonic missiles, and supersonic missiles, and the latest adoption, which is hypersonic missiles. This resulted in the creation of sophisticated missile-tracking radar networks, such as the Ballistic Missile Early Warning System (BMEWS) and its Soviet equivalent, capable of detecting and tracking ICBMs over vast distances. Over time, the integration of satellite-based systems, GPS sensors, and infrared sensors improved missile tracking capabilities, allowing for more precise detection and interception of missiles.

The present missile tracking systems situation demonstrates a remarkable progression over the decades, driven by technological breakthroughs and the ever-increasing complexity of modern combat. These systems have evolved from simple radar-based tracking to sophisticated multi-sensor networks that incorporate radar, infrared, GPS systems, and electro-optical technologies to offer complete situational awareness. In recent years, the integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning has played a critical role in improving missile tracking accuracy and speed, allowing real-time threat identification and interception. Furthermore, the growth of hypersonic missiles and other sophisticated threats has accelerated the development of even more robust missile tracking systems, needing continuous innovation in both hardware and software components.

Industrial Impact

Missile tracking systems have evolved as a key element of modern defense tactics, changing governments' perceptions of preparation for potential threats. These missile tracking systems are critical to a country's security since they provide real-time information on approaching missiles, allowing for quick and informed decision-making. The significance of missile tracking systems resides not only in their ability to identify and track these fast missiles but also in their ability to anticipate their trajectories and probable impact sites. This degree of accuracy enables the efficient deployment of defense measures such as interceptor-guided missiles, which may intercept and eliminate incoming threats, reducing potential damage and casualties.

Furthermore, the introduction of sophisticated missile tracking systems has added an additional layer to deterrent measures. Knowing that a government has possession of advanced missile tracking and interception technologies can be a significant discouragement to potential enemies. This technology not only raises the risks and costs of missile assaults but also creates a sense of uneasiness among opponents. As a result, countries with strong missile tracking capabilities can strengthen their national security without resorting to military action. The very existence of these systems can impact prospective enemies' calculations, encouraging stability and lowering the chance of violence. As a result, missile tracking systems have become an important weapon in altering the geopolitical environment, providing nations with the ability to defend themselves more effectively while also building global peace.

Market Segmentation:

Segmentation 1: by Application

  • Target Acquisition
  • Air Defense
  • Space Domain Awareness
  • Early Warning Capabilities

Air Defense Segment to Dominate the Global Missile Tracking Systems Market (by Application)

The missile tracking systems market was led by air defense, with a 40% share in 2022, and is expected to continue its dominance during the forecast period 2023-2033. Increasing demand by the defense industry for countering hostile missiles is driving the growth of the missile tracking systems industry.

Missile tracking systems provide real-time situational awareness, allowing for quick decisions and coordination among defensive units. This degree of awareness is critical for properly detecting and tracking incoming missiles. To offer extensive coverage, modern missile tracking systems frequently utilize a combination of ground-based radars, space-based sensors, and aerial platforms, allowing them to follow threats across large distances and in all situations, including high altitudes and outer space. Furthermore, since these systems may engage several targets at the same time, enemy forces find it incredibly difficult to take out or overcome the defense network.

Segmentation 2: by Platform

  • Space-Based Missile Tracking Systems
  • Ground-Based Missile Tracking Systems
  • Naval-Based Missile Tracking Systems
  • Airborne-Based Missile Tracking Systems

Ground-Based Missile Tracking Systems to Witness the Highest Growth between 2023 and 2033

The ground-based missile tracking systems segment dominated the global missile tracking systems market (by platform) in 2022, with a 73% share in terms of revenue due to the capability to provide target acquisition capabilities as well as other warfare capabilities.

Additionally, the space-based missile tracking systems segment includes armored radar vehicle, armored personnel carrier (APC), military radar truck, and anti-tank guided missile (ATGM) vehicle segments. These ground-based platforms provide solutions for missile tracking capabilities along with other military-related operations.

Segmentation 3: by Region

  • North America - U.S. and Canada
  • Europe - U.K., Germany, France, Russia, and Rest-of-Europe
  • Asia-Pacific - Japan, India, China, and Rest-of-Asia-Pacific
  • Rest-of-the-World - Middle East and Africa and Latin America

Asia-Pacific was the highest-growing market among all the regions, registering a CAGR of 6.09%. Europe is anticipated to gain traction in terms of missile tracking systems adoption owing to the growing demand for hypersonic missiles and cross-border tensions among the European countries where the usage of guided missiles has seen significant involvement. Moreover, favorable government policies are also expected to support the growth of the missile tracking systems market in North America and Europe during the forecast period.

In North America, the U.S. is anticipated to show the highest growth in the missile tracking systems market among other countries in North America. The U.S. is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.91%. The growth of the U.S. in the missile tracking systems market is mainly due to the factor that the U.S. is one of the biggest spending countries in terms of armaments, defense systems, and other technologies for its military in the world. The region is home to some of the world's most renowned manufacturers of missile tracking systems, and this drives the companies in this region to cope with the increasing demand of the missile tracking systems market continuously.

Recent Developments in the Missile Tracking Systems Market

  • In October 2023, Lockheed Martin Corporation signed a partnership with the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) for the preliminary design review (PDR) for the program's digital all-up round (AUR). The next-generation interceptor (NGI) is a component of the MDA's ground-based midcourse defense (GMD) system, and it will deliver a new, improved interceptor to safeguard the country against rogue nations' long-range ballistic missile threats.
  • In June 2023, L3Harris Technologies, Inc. signed a contract with the U.S. Space Force worth $193.5 million to build and deliver four ballistic and hypersonic missile detection and tracking satellites as a part of the Missile Track Custody (MTC) Epoch 1 program, which would identify and track hypersonic missiles.
  • In March 2023, Northrop Grumman signed a contract with Trident Systems, Inc. to provide processing and storage electronics for 14 Tranche 1 Tracking Layer satellites from the Space Development Agency. Trident will also supply developmental and flying units in support of the payload, which is meant to track missiles and other hypersonic objects from low Earth orbit under this subcontract.

Demand – Drivers and Limitations

Market Demand Drivers: Geopolitical Conflicts and Tensions

Emerging Hypersonic Armament Capabilities: The development and distribution of hypersonic missiles has driven R&D spending in the missile tracking business. This has resulted in increasing financing for cutting-edge technology, such as improved sensors and missile tracking radars for real-time detection and tracking of hypersonic missiles. Companies are developing and refining these technologies, resulting in an increase in research and innovation, which opens up new potential for growth in the field.

Market Challenges: Advancements in Stealth Technologies

Complex Sensor Integration: The complexity required to coordinate numerous sensor types and technologies into an organized and effective system makes complex sensor integration a complicated business challenge in the missile tracking systems industry for the companies indulged in the manufacturing of missile tracking systems. The market's requirement for missile tracking systems capable of detecting, tracking, and intercepting a wide spectrum of missile threats puts significant pressure on manufacturers to achieve seamless integration while maintaining reliability and accuracy.

Market Opportunities: AI and ML Integration

Directed Energy Weapons: Directed energy weapons (DEWs) can considerably improve the overall efficacy of missile tracking systems by providing quick, precision-based countermeasures. For instance, high-energy lasers can target and destroy missiles during their boost, midcourse, or terminal phases. The capacity to destroy missiles in their early stages significantly reduces the threat to important assets and population centers. This novel technique provides a dependable and cost-effective means of intercepting missiles, decreasing reliance on traditional kinetic interceptors.

How can this report add value to an organization?

Product/Innovation Strategy: The product segment helps the reader understand the different types of products available for deployment and their potential globally. Moreover, the study provides the reader with a detailed understanding of the missile tracking systems market by application on the basis of application (target acquisition, air defense, space domain awareness, and early warning capabilities) and product on the basis of platform (space-based missile defense systems, ground-based missile defense systems, naval-based missile defense systems, and airborne-based missile defense systems).

Growth/Marketing Strategy: The missile tracking systems market has seen major development by key players operating in the market, such as business expansion, partnership, collaboration, and joint venture. The favored strategy for the companies has been partnerships and contracts to strengthen their position in the missile tracking systems market. For instance, in March 2023, RTX signed a contract with the Space Development Agency worth more than $250 million to design, construct, and deliver a seven-vehicle missile tracking satellite constellation and provide launch and ground support. Once operational, the low Earth orbit constellation of networked satellites would serve as the Department of Defense's fifth plane of satellites, enabling missile warning and tracking. This program is an important component of the Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture.

Competitive Strategy: Key players in the missile tracking systems market analyzed and profiled in the study involve major missile tracking systems offering companies providing missile tracking systems for the purpose. Moreover, a detailed competitive benchmarking of the players operating in the missile tracking systems market has been done to help the reader understand how players stack against each other, presenting a clear market landscape. Additionally, comprehensive competitive strategies such as partnerships, agreements, and collaborations will aid the reader in understanding the untapped revenue pockets in the market.

Methodology: The research methodology design adopted for this specific study includes a mix of data collected from primary and secondary data sources. Both primary resources (key players, market leaders, and in-house experts) and secondary research (a host of paid and unpaid databases), along with analytical tools, are employed to build the predictive and forecast models.

Data and validation have been taken into consideration from both primary sources as well as secondary sources.

Report Synopsis

Report Metrics Details
Base year considered 2023
Forecast period considered 2023-2033
Base year market size $71.40 Billion in 2023
Market size forecast $117.50 Billion by 2033
Growth rate 5.11%
Units considered $ Billion
Segments covered By Application, By Platform, By Region
Industry covered Defense & Security
Regions covered North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific
Countries covered U.S., Canada, Russia, Germany, France, U.K., Rest-of-Europe, China, Japan, India, Rest-of-Asia-Pacific, Rest-of-the-World
Companies studied
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • Northrop Grumman
  • Boeing
  • L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • Leonardo S.p.A.
  • Thales
  • RTX
  • SpaceX
  • Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
  • Weibel Scientific A/S
  • BIRD Aerosystems
  • Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd.
  • IAI

Key Considerations and Assumptions in Market Engineering and Validation

  • Detailed secondary research has been done to ensure maximum coverage of manufacturers/suppliers operational in a country.
  • Exact revenue information, up to a certain extent, will be extracted for each company from secondary sources and databases. Revenues specific to product/service/technology will then be estimated for each market player based on fact-based proxy indicators as well as primary inputs.
  • Based on the classification, the average selling price (ASP) is calculated using the weighted average method.
  • The currency conversion rate has been taken from the historical exchange rate of Oanda and/or other relevant websites.
  • Any economic downturn in the future has not been taken into consideration for the market estimation and forecast.
  • The base currency considered for the market analysis is US$. Currencies other than the US$ have been converted to the US$ for all statistical calculations, considering the average conversion rate for that particular year.
  • The term “product” in this document may refer to “platform” as and where relevant.
  • The term “manufacturers/suppliers” may refer to “system providers” or “technology providers” as and where relevant.

Primary Research

The primary sources involve industry experts from the aerospace and defense industry, including missile tracking systems, defense-related industries, and missile tracking system platform manufacturers. Respondents such as CEOs, vice presidents, marketing directors, and technology and innovation directors have been interviewed to obtain and verify both qualitative and quantitative aspects of this research study.

Secondary Research

This study involves the usage of extensive secondary research, company websites, directories, and annual reports. It also makes use of databases, such as Spacenews and Businessweek, to collect effective and useful information for a market-oriented, technical, commercial, and extensive study of the global market. In addition to the data sources, the study has been undertaken with the help of other data sources and websites, such as www.nasa.gov.

Secondary research was done to obtain critical information about the industry’s value chain, the market’s monetary chain, revenue models, the total pool of key players, and the current and potential use cases and applications.

Key Market Players and Competition Synopsis

The companies that are profiled have been selected based on thorough secondary research, which includes analyzing company coverage, product portfolio, market penetration, and insights gathered from primary experts.

The missile tracking systems market comprises key players that have established themselves thoroughly and have the proper understanding of the market, accompanied by start-ups that are looking forward to establishing themselves in this highly competitive market. In 2022, the missile tracking systems market was dominated by established players, accounting for 73% of the market share, whereas start-ups managed to capture 27% of the market. With the growth in the adoption of hypersonic missile capabilities among nations equipped with the latest GPS technology to hit targets with pinpoint accuracy, more players will enter the global missile tracking systems market with each passing year.

Some prominent names established in this market are:

  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • Boeing
  • L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • Northrop Grumman
  • Thales
  • RTX
  • Leonardo S.p.A.
  • Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
  • Weibel Scientific A/S
  • SpaceX
  • Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd.

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