Quantum Dots: Global Market Growth and Future Commercial Prospects
The global market for quantum dots (QDs) in 2010 was worth an estimated $67 million in revenues. This market is projected to grow over the next 5 years at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59.3%, reaching almost $670 million by 2015, representing a tenfold increase.
Since their simultaneous discovery in Russia and the U.S. almost 30 years ago, SC QDs, until quite recently, have resided exclusively in the domain of solid state physics, where they have been fabricated using expensive and sophisticated molecular beam epitaxy (MBE) or chemical vapor deposition (CVD) equipment. However, in a relatively short time frame this situation has changed dramatically with the recent commercial availability of colloidal QDs synthesized by less expensive wet-chemical processes. Practically, the availability of QDs in a colloidally dispersed form will help demystify these somewhat esoteric materials. Most importantly, colloidal-QDs now provide access to a much broader audience, which promises to further widen their potential market exploitation.
- The global market for quantum dot (QD) technology generated an estimated $28.6 million in 2008. This is expected to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 90.7% to reach $721.1 million in 2013.
- QDs in the optoelectronics sector are expected to have the largest market share in 2013, worth $245.7 million.
- Stand alone colloidal QDs were the only market sector in 2008, worth $28.6 million. This should increase at a CAGR of 30% to reach $106.1 million in 2013.
From a total global market of but $10 million in 2004, revenue is projected to reach $500 million by 2009, at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of well over 100%.
During the period, applications of QDs will become more pervasive, transcending electronics, optoelectronics, optics, energy and many other industrial sectors.
Market and technological evolution will cut pricing from $3,000 to $10,000 per gram today to $250/kg.
The first products, QD-bioconjugates, were launched in 2002. Impending QD-based product launches include flash-memory and solar roofing tiles, with OLED flexible displays, flexible electronics, white LED lighting and IT-photonics three to five years out.