The global market for quantum dot (QD) technology generated an estimated $28.6 million in 2008. This is expected to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 90.7% to reach $721.1 million in 2013.
QDs in the optoelectronics sector are expected to have the largest market share in 2013, worth $245.7 million.
Stand alone colloidal QDs were the only market sector in 2008, worth $28.6 million. This should increase at a CAGR of 30% to reach $106.1 million in 2013.
INTRODUCTION
MOTIVATION
Among the many subsets of nanomaterials, quantum dots (QDs) are like no other. At dimensions typically below 10 nanometers, nanocrystalline (nc) semiconductors (SC), metals, and magnetic materials can all exhibit extraordinary quantum confinement phenomenon. Basically, at these dimensions, their physical size encroaches upon the fundamental quantum confinement dimensions of orbiting electrons that are uniquely prescribed by their atomic nucleus. Within the regime of these critical dimensions, QDs exhibit distinctly different behavior from their bulk form, which manifests itself, for example, in distinctly different optical, electronic, and magnetic properties.
Today, scientists can precisely synthesize nanocrystalline materials at these critical dimensions and thereby systematically tune their quantum confining behavior. As a result there is currently enormous interest to exploit and capitalize on the unique properties exhibited by QD materials. As a harbinger for future business developments, colloidal QD-bioconjugates are among the first wave of commercial product applications stimulating market interest. Primarily, these have quickly established a niche market in the life sciences and biomedical communities, where they provide unrivalled cellular imaging and therapeutic detection capabilities. Other promising prototype developments of SC QDs now on the commercial-horizon range include: a new generation of flash memory devices; nanomaterial enhancements for improving the performance of flexible organic light-emitting diodes (LEDs), as well as solid-state white-LED lighting; and a core technology used in flexible solar panel coatings.
With these impending commercial developments and their enormous business potential, this report provides a timely assessment of quantum dot materials—where they are currently at, and where they might be in the foreseeable future.
STUDY GOAL AND OBJECTIVES
The primary objective of this report is threefold: to assess the current state-of-the-art in synthesizing QDs; to identify the current market players seeking to exploit QD behavior; and to evaluate actual or potential markets in terms of application, type, and projected market revenues.
SCOPE OF REPORT
Since their parallel discovery in Russia and the U.S. almost 25 years ago, SC QDs, until quite recently, have resided exclusively in the domain of solid state physics, where they have been fabricated using expensive and sophisticated molecular beam epitaxy (MBE) or chemical vapor deposition (CVD) equipment. However, in a relatively short time frame this situation has changed dramatically with the recent commercial availability of colloidal QDs synthesized by less expensive wet-chemical processes. Practically, the availability of QDs in a colloidally dispersed form will help demystify these somewhat esoteric materials. Most importantly, colloidal-QDs now provide access to a much broader audience, which promises to further widen their potential market exploitation.
Current and future applications of QDs impact a broad range of industrial markets. These include, for example, biology and biomedicine; computing and memory; electronics and displays; optoelectronic devices such as LEDs, lighting, and lasers; optical components used in telecommunications; and security applications such as covert identification tagging or biowarfare detection sensors.
This report probes in considerable depth the early pioneers and champions in this field both in industry, government, and academic laboratories. The most active organizations, promising technical applications, and developments realizable within the next 5 years, will all be highlighted.
CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE STUDY AND TARGET AUDIENCE
This report represents a major update of the BCC Research report Quantum Dots: Technologies and Commercial Prospects, published in April 2005. The most significant revisions in the new edition include:
An extensive updated patent analysis
An in-depth assessment of the unfolding commercial markets
Progress in the synthesis and commercial scaleup by QD producers
Updated company profiles of the synthesizers and end users dictating market development
Updated 5-year market projection analysis of the emerging QD market
It represents the second exclusive report to focus on QD nanomaterials from the perspective of their technology, applications, and future business prospects. Thus, this up-to-date technical assessment and business analysis should prove an especially valuable resource to individuals and organizations seeking more insight into the current status of QDs, their stand-alone capabilities within the spectrum of nanomaterials, and time-to-market commercial development. This comprehensive technical and business assessment on the current status of the QD-based industry should prove informative to nanomaterials manufacturers, investors seeking near-term commercialization opportunities, technologists confronted with nanomaterial device integration issues, and companies specifically interested in exploiting QDs for biological, biomedical, electronic, energy storage, optics, optoelectronics, and security applications.
METHODOLOGY AND SOURCES OF INFORMATION
This report is primarily derived from the enormous amount of patent and technical literature relating to QDs disclosed in the public domain. In addition, complementary information has also been drawn from the business community, such as company investment news, company profiles, press releases, and personal telephone interviews with selected companies.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
John Oliver, the author of this report, is the founder of Innov8 Solutions, which provides advanced materials consultation services to various clients. He has over 30 years of industrial research and development (R&D) experience in surface and colloid science, spanning a wide range of materials technology. Primarily, working as a senior scientist at Xerox Research Centre of Canada, he developed an invaluable understanding in advanced materials used in digital printing technologies such as xerography and ink-jet printing. More recently, through his involvements with the Alberta Research Council and several local universities, his interests have evolved into the realm of nanomaterials and microsystems device integration. He has a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry from McGill University, a BSc degree in Chemistry from Surrey University, U.K. His publications include more than 40 technical articles, 20 patents, and one technical book.
He is the editor of BCC’s bimonthly Nanoparticle News and the author of two previous BCC technical reports: Quantum Dots: Technical Status and Market Prospects (NAN027A);and Carbon Nanotubes: Technologies and Commercial Prospects (NAN024C).
Published - Apr-2005|
Analyst - John Oliver|
Code - NAN027A
Report Highlights
From a total global market of but $10 million in 2004, revenue is projected to reach $500 million by 2009, at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of well over 100%.
During the period, applications of QDs will become more pervasive, transcending electronics, optoelectronics, optics, energy and many other industrial sectors.
Market and technological evolution will cut pricing from $3,000 to $10,000 per gram today to $250/kg.
The first products, QD-bioconjugates, were launched in 2002. Impending QD-based product launches include flash-memory and solar roofing tiles, with OLED flexible displays, flexible electronics, white LED lighting and IT-photonics three to five years out.
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